A real-world judgement test covering evidence, assumptions, contradictions, causality, belief updating, risk, consequences, goal alignment, social pressure and self-correction.
Say what you would actually think or do. There is no benefit to trying to sound cautious, clever or agreeable: the scoring rubric looks at whether your reasoning fits the situation.
All 30 questions contribute to the judgement score.
The same answers are also scored against the personality dualities in the background.
Question 1 of 30
A friend tells you a new supplement completely fixed their tiredness within three days. They are convinced it works. What does that tell you, and what would you want to know before deciding whether the supplement really works?
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Question 2 of 30
Two shops sell the same item. Shop A has a 5.0 rating from 7 reviews. Shop B has a 4.7 rating from 4,800 reviews. You know nothing else about either shop. Which rating gives you more useful evidence and how confident would you be?
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Question 3 of 30
You flip a fair coin six times and get heads six times. Someone says, “That proves the coin is probably rigged.” What would you conclude from the six flips?
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Question 4 of 30
A colleague says, “The delivery could not have arrived before Friday because the supplier only sent it on Friday.” Five minutes later they say, “I checked the delivered parts on Thursday afternoon.” What do you do with those two statements?
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Question 5 of 30
A manager says, “Nobody on this team has complained about the new rota, so everyone must be happy with it.” Later they mention that two people asked to change shifts because the rota was causing childcare problems. What is wrong with the manager’s conclusion?
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Question 6 of 30
A report says sales increased by 12% this month. On the next page it says 8,400 units were sold this month and 8,900 units were sold last month. What do you do before using the report?
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Question 7 of 30
You send someone a message at 9:00am. By lunchtime they have not replied. Your first thought is that they are annoyed with you. What should you do with that thought?
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Question 8 of 30
You arrive at a café and see a handwritten sign saying “cash only today”. You have no cash and need to buy lunch quickly. What assumptions would you avoid making, and what would you do next?
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Question 9 of 30
A neighbour’s lights have been on all night for three nights. Someone says, “They must be away and trying to make the house look occupied.” What would you need before accepting that explanation?
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Question 10 of 30
A school changes its lunch menu in September. Attendance improves during the same term. A parent says, “The new lunches caused better attendance.” How would you evaluate that claim?
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Question 11 of 30
A shop moves its best-selling products closer to the entrance. Revenue rises the next week, which is also the week before Christmas. The owner says the layout change worked. What can and cannot be concluded?
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Question 12 of 30
You stop drinking coffee after 4pm and sleep better for a week. What would make it reasonable to think the change helped, and what would stop you from being certain?
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Question 13 of 30
You strongly believe a local restaurant is excellent because you have had five great meals there. Your next two visits are both poor. What should happen to your belief?
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Question 14 of 30
You predicted a project would take two weeks. After one week, only 20% is complete and the slow parts are still ahead. A teammate says your original estimate is probably still fine. What do you do?
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Question 15 of 30
You thought a new employee was unreliable after they were late twice in their first week. Over the next two months they arrive on time every day and consistently finish work early. How should you now think about the original judgement?
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Question 16 of 30
You can choose between two routes home. Route A usually takes 30 minutes but has a 10% chance of a one-hour delay. Route B reliably takes 40 minutes. You have an important call at home in 50 minutes. Which do you choose and why?
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Question 17 of 30
Your laptop contains the only copy of a month of important work. It has never failed before. Backing it up would take ten minutes. What should the small chance of failure mean for your decision?
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Question 18 of 30
A weather forecast gives a 30% chance of heavy rain during a two-hour outdoor event. Moving indoors is mildly inconvenient but easy; getting caught outside would ruin expensive equipment. What would you do with the 30% figure?
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Question 19 of 30
You can save £25 by booking a non-refundable hotel today, but your travel date may change and you will know for certain tomorrow. The refundable option will still be available tomorrow for £25 more. What consequences matter before booking?
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Question 20 of 30
A team wants to solve repeated mistakes by adding a mandatory approval step to every small task. What effects would you consider before agreeing?
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Question 21 of 30
You are angry about a service problem and are about to post the employee’s full name and a harsh accusation publicly. Your goal is to get the issue resolved quickly. What should you think about before posting?
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Question 22 of 30
Your goal is to arrive at the airport by 6:00am. You have spent twenty minutes comparing coffee shops near the route because you want good coffee. It is now 5:05am and the drive normally takes 40 minutes. What should you do?
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Question 23 of 30
You want to reduce household spending by £200 this month. You spend three evenings searching for a way to save £4 on a purchase while a £35 monthly subscription you no longer use remains active. What is the judgement error and what should you do?
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Question 24 of 30
A website redesign project is meant to reduce customer checkout failures. The team is debating fonts for two hours while nobody has checked where customers currently abandon checkout. What would you redirect the team toward?
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Question 25 of 30
Five people in a meeting confidently agree that a supplier is unreliable. You have the delivery records in front of you and they show 97% of deliveries arrived on time. What do you do?
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Question 26 of 30
A senior person at work says a plan is “obviously safe” and everyone else nods. You notice one specific way it could cause a serious problem. What do you do?
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Question 27 of 30
Three close friends strongly recommend a restaurant. You check recent reviews and see repeated reports that it has been closed for renovation for the past week. What should influence your decision most?
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Question 28 of 30
You send a client the wrong document because you selected the first similarly named file in a folder. The client catches it before any harm is done. What do you do after apologising?
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Question 29 of 30
You chose a contractor partly because you were sure they would finish fastest. They finish late, and afterwards you discover the warning signs were visible before you hired them. How should you review the decision?
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Question 30 of 30
You have spent £5,000 developing a product idea. New testing now strongly suggests customers do not want it. Finishing it would cost another £8,000. What role should the £5,000 already spent play in your next decision?
